January 12, 2026

How Federal Reserve Policy Quietly Sets Up the Next Crypto Bull Run

The Real Reason Behind Big Crypto Moves

Most people in crypto watch prices, hype, and what's trending online. But there's something else that often kicks off the biggest rallies: what the Federal Reserve does.

Looking back, big changes in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other coins often happen when the Fed changes its plans for interest rates and how much money is flowing.

bitcoin fed liquidity dxy correlation 2022 2025

How the Fed Affects Crypto

When the Fed raises rates a lot, it takes money out of the system. It gets harder to borrow, and when money's tight, things like crypto can have a hard time.

But things change when the Fed stops raising rates. When people start talking and disagreeing, and the Fed starts to worry more about the economy than prices, then crypto can take off.

When the Fed slowly starts to loosen things up, it's often been a good sign for crypto.

What Crypto Investors Often Miss

When Bitcoin and Ethereum fall, and things look uncertain, it's easy to get nervous. It's hard to watch your investments shrink as news turns bad, and buying more feels wrong.

But history shows that these scary times often give you the best chances to invest for the long run.

During these periods, a few things usually happen:

  • Money starts to flow back into crypto.

  • The Federal Reserve becomes less strict.

  • Long-term investors take advantage of the fear instead of freaking out.

Most people do the opposite. They wait for prices to rise, for positive news, and for social media to be full of excitement before they feel okay jumping in. By then, it's often too late.

The people who usually come out on top are those who are ready to buy when things are unclear and stay calm when everyone else is celebrating.

bitcoin accumulation obv exchange outflows 2022 2025

Bitcoin Leaving Exchanges Is Important

One of the biggest clues that the market is about to rise is what’s happening with Bitcoin on exchanges. It might seem small, but it’s a key thing to watch in crypto data.

Here's why it matters:

  • Less Bitcoin on exchanges means fewer coins that can be quickly sold.

  • More BTC going into cold storage shows that long-term holders feel good about their investments.

  • When there's less supply, and demand increases, prices usually increase.

This decrease in available Bitcoin often starts before prices rise. In the past, it's been one of the first signs of a coming rise.

ethereum institutional adoption 200wma obv 2019 2025

Ethereum: The Future of Money

Ethereum has moved beyond just being a place for smart contracts. It's becoming the foundation for a whole new kind of finance. This system uses tokenized assets, stablecoins, and payment methods, all running on the blockchain.

A key thing to watch is how traditional finance is reacting. Major institutions aren’t just experimenting with crypto. They're beginning to build their core systems on Ethereum first. After proving things there, they may explore networks like Solana. They're choosing the most workable option now: a platform that’s stable, reliable, and widely accepted.

This adoption is clear: big financial firms are quietly constructing real systems on public blockchains, going past initial tests.

Why Privacy on the Blockchain Is Important

Privacy is increasingly vital. As more businesses and money come to the blockchain, ensuring secure and private transactions is essential.

This is where zero-knowledge tech (ZK) is useful. It makes it possible to:

  • Conduct private, verifiable transactions.

  • Use rollups to keep the network speedy and maintain good performance.

  • Keep business operations private yet dependable.

Many privacy tools are being developed for Ethereum and Bitcoin. This focus shows the importance of these networks in the future of digital money.

The Big Picture is Coming Together

If you look at what's happening, a clear view begins to take shape. Several big things are happening together:

  • The Federal Reserve is slowly moving toward easing up.

  • Money is quietly coming back into the market.

  • The amount of Bitcoin on exchanges keeps dropping as people hold onto their coins for the long haul.

  • Ethereum is becoming real financial groundwork, not just some tech project.

  • Privacy tech is gaining steam as more serious people get involved.

If you put all of this together, you get one of the strongest long-term situations the crypto market has seen in years.

Yes, the short-term will always have ups and downs—that’s how it works. But the basic groundwork for the next big bull run is already being made today, before most people even realize it.

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Joel Peterson


Joel escaped the corporate rat race back in 2002 after discovering the power of the internet – and he’s been helping others do the same ever since. In 2013, he helped launch one of the first Bitcoin mining farms in the U.S., which ignited his passion for crypto. That journey ultimately led to the creation of The Crypto Code – a premier crypto education, research, and software company with a global team of over 40 employees and thousands of students around the world.

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